CYCLICAL
MARKETS

We read the market in cycles,
and we publish the read.

Derek Frazier trades and teaches one method: find where a market sits in its cycle, then watch how price crosses a single line. The read runs every night on 35 markets, the calls go on a public scoreboard with the misses left in, and the whole thing is open to look at before you spend anything.

LOOK AT THE MARKET
The Cycle Deck

Every market we track, one panel each — where it sits in its cycle and which side of the 20-day line it closed on. Free, no account.

Open the Deck →
LEARN THE METHOD
The 80-Day Clock

Where the S&P sits in the cycle running right now, plus what the end of a cycle actually means. The whole read, explained.

See the clock →
CHECK THE RECORD
The public ledger

Every call made on video, dated and scored against public price data. Hits and misses both, nothing edited after the fact.

Read the ledger →
START FROM SCRATCH
The book

The free guide to reading cycles on a chart — the cycles, the one line, and the daily routine. Yours for an email.

Get the book →
Tonight’s read
Tonight’s read isn’t loading here at the moment — the full clock is always on the clock page.
The public ledger
Scored
13
Hits
6
Misses
7
Still open
5

There are more misses than hits in there, and they stay in. The record is young — it opened in July, and the newest scored entry is dated 2026-07-13 — and it is weak on individual long ideas, which is the first thing you will notice reading it. That is the point of publishing it.

Educational market analysis only — not investment advice, not a recommendation. The track record is Derek’s own published calls, scored against public price data. 10 observation-only entries are logged separately and are not scored. Hit-or-miss counts on published calls are not returns, and not a promise of any outcome.

The method, in plain English
  • The cycle count. Markets move in repeating lengths. The count tells you where you are in one — early, middle, or into the trough window.
  • The one line. The 20-day FLD is median price pushed forward half a cycle. How price crosses it is the whole read, and it is teachable in a week.
  • The cascade. A real turn shows up as 20, then 40, then 80 — the visible record of a whole market turning, in order.
  • Flat is a position. Inside a straddled trough the rule is to stand aside. Knowing when not to trade is half of what the clock is for.

That is the whole framework. The book walks it end to end and costs nothing — get it here.

What’s open, and what isn’t

The clock, the board, the ledger and the book are open to anyone, permanently, with no account. What sits behind a payment is the per-company detail on the deck, the toolkit you install on your own charts, and the live room. We keep that line where it is because the computed read is the actual work — giving it away for free would mean there was nothing left to build.

What it costs

Two things are for sale. Neither one is required to use anything above.

Rung one
The Cycle Pass
$297 DIY · $435 with setup help

One payment, yours forever, not a subscription — nothing to cancel. It unlocks the individual company cards on the deck and comes with the course, the book, the journal and the Capital Pressure Map. DIY is the toolkit on its own, no support of any kind; Done-With-You adds a 30-day setup lane — a guided walkthrough and a person on call — so it actually gets working on your machine. The Pass page lists exactly what ships today and what doesn’t, in plain words.

“I guarantee the kit, not the market. You get every piece — and with Done-With-You, the setup process run to a clear outcome. If something doesn’t show up, tell me inside 14 days and I refund the whole thing.”

I will never promise you a profit. Nobody honest can, and most traders lose money.

See what’s inside the Pass
The room
The Session
Not currently for sale

The live room where the method gets run out loud — the pre-open read, the session, the close. It runs on a published schedule, and when we can’t make one, we say so in advance. It is not on the menu right now: the Pass is the product, and if the room ever opens for membership, Pass owners hear it from us first.

See how The Session works

A desk build sits above all of this — implementation, quarterly one-to-ones, the whole operation. It isn’t sold from a page and never will be; it closes on a twenty-minute call, and it comes up when it fits.

What we haven’t finished

Two pieces of the Cycle Pass — the course and the indicator suite — are still being packaged, and the Pass page says so in the same words rather than burying it in a list. The public ledger is young: it opened in July, and the newest scored entry is dated 2026-07-13. You would have found both of those in about a minute, so here they are up front.

Educational market analysis only. Cyclical Markets is a publisher of educational content — not a registered investment adviser, broker-dealer, or CTA. Nothing on this site is investment advice, a signal, a performance promise, or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Cycle-day counts and interactions are deterministic estimates from delayed end-of-day data. Any track record shown is Derek’s own published calls, dated and scored against public price data — hits and misses both; simulated results are labeled as simulated and are never blended with real fills. No profit or performance is promised or implied. Trading involves substantial risk of loss and most traders lose money. You alone are responsible for your decisions. © 2026 Derek Frazier LLC.